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Can the Western Balkans converge towards EU living standards?

Standards of living in the six economies of the Western Balkans are well below those in the European Union (EU). The gap is closing gradually, but a full catch-up could, on current trends, take 70 years or more. The fundamental problem is low productivity in the economy, a result of many years of under-investment, weak institutions, unfavourable demographics and a difficult business environment. In this paper, we use the EBRD’s assessment of transition qualities (ATQ) framework to identify areas where the region lags far behind EU comparators, and we propose a number of concrete policy improvements that, if adopted, would speed up the rate of convergence.